| IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 (July, 2000) | |||||||||||||||
| World - B1 IMAGE | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 | |||
| Population | Million | 5280 | 6122 | 6892 | 7618 | 8196 | 8547 | 8708 | 8671 | 8484 | 8142 | 7663 | 7047 | ||
| GNP/GDP (mex) | Trillion US$ | 21.0 | 26.8 | 37.3 | 52.6 | 73.1 | 100.7 | 135.6 | 171.7 | 208.5 | 249.7 | 290.1 | 328.4 | ||
| 1990 US$/cap | 3971 | 4372 | 5416 | 6900 | 8916 | 11783 | 15569 | 19803 | 24577 | 30667 | 37856 | 46598 | NOT ppp-corrected | ||
| Final Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Non-commercial | 54 | 57 | 60 | 53 | 46 | 37 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 14 | |||
| Solids | 43 | 43 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 44 | 40 | 35 | 30 | 25 | 21 | |||
| Liquids | 106 | 117 | 137 | 152 | 156 | 151 | 135 | 115 | 102 | 93 | 84 | 75 | |||
| Gas | 46 | 52 | 66 | 70 | 71 | 74 | 79 | 82 | 83 | 82 | 80 | 76 | |||
| Electricity | 39 | 54 | 83 | 122 | 168 | 223 | 260 | 270 | 266 | 255 | 240 | 220 | |||
| Others | 2 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | 52 | 64 | 70 | 69 | 65 | 59 | 52 | |||
| Total | 289 | 327 | 398 | 462 | 523 | 581 | 608 | 601 | 576 | 544 | 505 | 458 | |||
| Primary Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 105 | 109 | 120 | 134 | 163 | 181 | 167 | 133 | 101 | 76 | 58 | 44 | |||
| Oil | 129 | 141 | 176 | 206 | 230 | 236 | 228 | 199 | 167 | 143 | 119 | 99 | |||
| Gas | 62 | 71 | 108 | 138 | 153 | 166 | 173 | 168 | 154 | 136 | 121 | 103 | |||
| Non-Fossil Electric | 8 | 14 | 22 | 33 | 49 | 73 | 105 | 132 | 151 | 163 | 168 | 165 | |||
| Biomass | 3 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 54 | 77 | 95 | 102 | 99 | 90 | 79 | 67 | |||
| Other Renewables | 61 | 68 | 71 | 66 | 61 | 54 | 46 | 44 | 42 | 41 | 39 | 36 | |||
| Total | 368 | 407 | 508 | 606 | 710 | 788 | 813 | 778 | 715 | 650 | 584 | 514 | |||
| Cumulative Resources Production ZJ | NOT use but Production | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 11.1 | 12.0 | 12.7 | 13.2 | |||
| Oil | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 9.3 | 11.6 | 13.8 | 15.6 | 17.2 | 18.5 | 19.6 | |||
| Gas | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 9.2 | 10.8 | 12.3 | 13.6 | 14.7 | |||
| Cumulative CO2 Emissions | GtC | 0.0 | 75.3 | 161.6 | 261.1 | 369.8 | 483.9 | 599.0 | 704.1 | 793.7 | 868.0 | 928.1 | 975.9 | ||
| Carbon Sequestraction | GtC | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.5 | Net Ecosystem Production (NEP) | |
| Land Use | Million ha | ||||||||||||||
| Cropland | 1436 | 1371 | 1445 | 1499 | 1516 | 1486 | 1429 | 1360 | 1288 | 1209 | 1124 | 1038 | Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species | ||
| Grasslands | 3435 | 3316 | 3424 | 3404 | 3292 | 3052 | 2785 | 2500 | 2293 | 2142 | 2023 | 1899 | Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species' | ||
| Energy Biomass | 8 | 10 | 24 | 68 | 134 | 209 | 268 | 294 | 287 | 262 | 227 | 194 | |||
| Forest | 4277 | 4261 | 4179 | 4258 | 4274 | 4375 | 4551 | 4711 | 4897 | 5130 | 5349 | 5543 | |||
| Others | 3916 | 4114 | 3999 | 3843 | 3853 | 3950 | 4038 | 4207 | 4305 | 4327 | 4348 | 4398 | |||
| Total | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | 13071 | |||
| Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized) | |||||||||||||||
| Fossil Fuel CO2 | GtC | 5.99 | 6.90 | 8.50 | 10.00 | 11.20 | 12.20 | 11.70 | 10.20 | 8.60 | 7.30 | 6.10 | 5.20 | ||
| Other CO2 | GtC | 1.11 | 1.07 | 0.78 | 0.63 | -0.09 | -0.48 | -0.41 | -0.46 | -0.42 | -0.60 | -0.78 | -0.97 | Approximate calculation from complex land-use module | |
| Total CO2 | GtC | 7.10 | 7.97 | 9.28 | 10.63 | 11.11 | 11.72 | 11.29 | 9.74 | 8.18 | 6.70 | 5.32 | 4.23 | ||
| CH4 total | MtCH4 | 310 | 323 | 349 | 377 | 385 | 381 | 359 | 342 | 324 | 293 | 266 | 236 | ||
| N2O total | MtN2O-N | 6.7 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 6.4 | 5.7 | ||
| SOx total | MtS | 70.9 | 69.0 | 73.9 | 74.6 | 78.2 | 78.5 | 68.9 | 55.8 | 44.3 | 36.1 | 29.8 | 24.9 | ||
| CFC/HFC/HCFC | MtC eq. | 1672 | 883 | 784 | 291 | 257 | 298 | 338 | 337 | 333 | 327 | 315 | 299 | ||
| PFC | MtC eq. | 32 | 25 | 29 | 32 | 33 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 45 | 43 | 46 | 45 | ||
| SF6 | MtC eq. | 38 | 40 | 36 | 37 | 47 | 58 | 68 | 71 | 62 | 46 | 43 | 43 | ||
| CO | MtCO | 879 | 877 | 789 | 751 | 603 | 531 | 471 | 459 | 456 | 426 | 399 | 363 | ||
| NMVOC | Mt | 139 | 141 | 141 | 140 | 131 | 123 | 116 | 111 | 103 | 99 | 96 | 87 | ||
| NOx | MtN | 31 | 32 | 36 | 40 | 42 | 43 | 39 | 34 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 19 | ||
| OECD90 - B1 IMAGE | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 | Remarks | ||
| Population | Million | 799 | 849 | 890 | 932 | 965 | 990 | 1001 | 1005 | 1009 | 1020 | 1029 | 1032 | ||
| GNP/GDP (mex) | Trillion US$ | 16.5 | 20.2 | 25.9 | 32.4 | 38.2 | 43.9 | 49.9 | 55.4 | 59.8 | 66.3 | 73.8 | 82.3 | ||
| 1990 US$/cap | 20649 | 23842 | 29100 | 34762 | 39588 | 44382 | 49810 | 55071 | 59257 | 65005 | 71721 | 79765 | NOT ppp-corrected | ||
| Final Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Non-commercial | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Solids | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Liquids | 57 | 60 | 60 | 58 | 51 | 41 | 32 | 25 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 16 | |||
| Gas | 24 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | |||
| Electricity | 24 | 36 | 47 | 54 | 58 | 58 | 57 | 55 | 52 | 51 | 50 | 49 | |||
| Others | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 17 | |||
| Total | 120 | 137 | 152 | 159 | 159 | 153 | 146 | 138 | 130 | 125 | 121 | 116 | |||
| Primary Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 37 | 46 | 46 | 40 | 36 | 30 | 24 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | |||
| Oil | 67 | 73 | 74 | 72 | 64 | 50 | 39 | 31 | 25 | 22 | 20 | 19 | |||
| Gas | 28 | 36 | 42 | 44 | 41 | 38 | 37 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 31 | |||
| Non-Fossil Electric | 7 | 12 | 18 | 24 | 29 | 32 | 35 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 37 | |||
| Biomass | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 19 | |||
| Other Renewables | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | |||
| Total | 151 | 178 | 195 | 199 | 193 | 178 | 166 | 154 | 144 | 136 | 131 | 126 | |||
| Cumulative Resources Production ZJ | NOT use but Production | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.8 | |||
| Oil | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4.9 | |||
| Gas | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.4 | |||
| Cumulative CO2 Emissions | GtC | 0.0 | 30.1 | 63.1 | 96.4 | 126.6 | 152.1 | 173.3 | 190.4 | 204.7 | 217.1 | 228.3 | 238.6 | ||
| Carbon Sequestraction | GtC | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | Net Ecosystem Production (NEP) | |
| Land Use | Million ha | ||||||||||||||
| Cropland | 379 | 354 | 344 | 349 | 348 | 349 | 352 | 351 | 347 | 345 | 343 | 339 | Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species | ||
| Grasslands | 785 | 704 | 619 | 553 | 498 | 459 | 428 | 418 | 408 | 402 | 396 | 389 | Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species' | ||
| Energy Biomass | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 36 | 42 | 42 | 37 | 31 | 26 | |||
| Forest | 1115 | 1165 | 1215 | 1259 | 1299 | 1328 | 1351 | 1361 | 1378 | 1401 | 1423 | 1451 | |||
| Others | 956 | 1015 | 1058 | 1069 | 1077 | 1076 | 1072 | 1065 | 1063 | 1054 | 1045 | 1033 | |||
| Total | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | 3238 | |||
| Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized) | |||||||||||||||
| Fossil Fuel CO2 | GtC | 2.83 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.40 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.10 | ||
| Other CO2 | GtC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.06 | -0.02 | -0.07 | -0.09 | -0.08 | -0.06 | -0.14 | -0.12 | -0.11 | Approximate calculation from complex land-use module | |
| Total CO2 | GtC | 2.83 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 3.26 | 2.78 | 2.33 | 1.90 | 1.52 | 1.34 | 1.16 | 1.07 | 0.99 | ||
| CH4 total | MtCH4 | 73 | 74 | 75 | 72 | 68 | 63 | 56 | 52 | 50 | 46 | 42 | 40 | ||
| N2O total | MtN2O-N | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 | ||
| SOx total | MtS | 22.7 | 17.0 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | ||
| HFC | MtC eq. | 19 | 58 | 108 | 103 | 109 | 112 | 116 | 117 | 117 | 119 | 120 | 120 | ||
| PFC | MtC eq. | 18 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | ||
| SF6 | MtC eq. | 24 | 23 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | ||
| CO | MtCO | 179 | 161 | 153 | 137 | 116 | 100 | 85 | 72 | 64 | 63 | 59 | 56 | ||
| NMVOC | Mt | 42 | 36 | 35 | 33 | 29 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | ||
| NOx | MtN | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| REF - B1 IMAGE | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 | Remarks | ||
| Population | Million | 412 | 429 | 437 | 443 | 445 | 443 | 432 | 419 | 401 | 384 | 365 | 347 | ||
| GNP/GDP (mex) | Trillion US$ | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 15.4 | 18.1 | ||
| 1990 US$/cap | 2307 | 1676 | 2335 | 3864 | 6259 | 9702 | 14328 | 19523 | 25651 | 33306 | 42087 | 52210 | NOT ppp-corrected | ||
| Final Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Non-commercial | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Solids | 14 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Liquids | 21 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | |||
| Gas | 15 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | |||
| Electricity | 9 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 16 | |||
| Others | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Total | 62 | 40 | 37 | 40 | 42 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 41 | 38 | 35 | 32 | |||
| Primary Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 36 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | |||
| Oil | 28 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | |||
| Gas | 25 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | |||
| Non-Fossil Electric | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | |||
| Biomass | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |||
| Other Renewables | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Total | 95 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 56 | 63 | 64 | 60 | 54 | 48 | 43 | 39 | |||
| Cumulative Resources Production ZJ | NOT use but Production | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |||
| Oil | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | |||
| Gas | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.8 | |||
| Cumulative CO2 Emissions | GtC | 0.0 | 11.0 | 19.6 | 27.7 | 34.7 | 40.5 | 46.1 | 51.0 | 54.1 | 55.9 | 57.0 | 57.9 | ||
| Carbon Sequestraction | GtC | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | Net Ecosystem Production (NEP) | |
| Land Use | Million ha | ||||||||||||||
| Cropland | 278 | 217 | 219 | 209 | 190 | 173 | 154 | 141 | 128 | 117 | 106 | 98 | Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species | ||
| Grasslands | 392 | 300 | 321 | 319 | 286 | 248 | 211 | 187 | 170 | 162 | 155 | 148 | Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species' | ||
| Energy Biomass | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 51 | 57 | 58 | 50 | 46 | |||
| Forest | 1146 | 1177 | 1175 | 1282 | 1295 | 1310 | 1350 | 1378 | 1410 | 1443 | 1459 | 1480 | |||
| Others | 461 | 583 | 562 | 463 | 495 | 519 | 521 | 521 | 512 | 498 | 507 | 506 | |||
| Total | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | 2278 | |||
| Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized) | |||||||||||||||
| Fossil Fuel CO2 | GtC | 1.30 | 0.91 | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.81 | 0.61 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 0.41 | ||
| Other CO2 | GtC | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.10 | -0.31 | -0.35 | -0.36 | -0.38 | -0.41 | -0.36 | -0.34 | -0.29 | Approximate calculation from complex land-use module | |
| Total CO2 | GtC | 1.30 | 0.91 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.12 | ||
| CH4 total | MtCH4 | 47 | 39 | 38 | 42 | 44 | 40 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 27 | 24 | 21 | ||
| N2O total | MtN2O-N | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | ||
| SOx total | MtS | 17.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | ||
| HFC | MtC eq. | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | ||
| PFC | MtC eq. | 7 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | ||
| SF6 | MtC eq. | 8 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | ||
| CO | MtCO | 69 | 41 | 28 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 9 | ||
| NMVOC | Mt | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | ||
| NOx | MtN | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| ASIA - B1 IMAGE | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 | Remarks | ||
| Population | Million | 2781 | 3246 | 3609 | 3929 | 4142 | 4235 | 4220 | 4088 | 3871 | 3594 | 3262 | 2886 | ||
| GNP/GDP (mex) | Trillion US$ | 1.4 | 2.7 | 4.8 | 8.7 | 15.1 | 24.9 | 37.9 | 51.4 | 64.8 | 78.7 | 91.7 | 103.1 | ||
| 1990 US$/cap | 502 | 837 | 1336 | 2207 | 3651 | 5885 | 8981 | 12579 | 16732 | 21889 | 28119 | 35726 | NOT ppp-corrected | ||
| Final Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Non-commercial | 29 | 31 | 30 | 24 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | |||
| Solids | 20 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | |||
| Liquids | 12 | 22 | 29 | 34 | 38 | 39 | 35 | 30 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 19 | |||
| Gas | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 20 | |||
| Electricity | 4 | 9 | 19 | 36 | 56 | 80 | 93 | 95 | 93 | 88 | 84 | 77 | |||
| Others | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 18 | |||
| Total | 68 | 92 | 117 | 144 | 171 | 198 | 205 | 200 | 189 | 175 | 162 | 144 | |||
| Primary Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 28 | 41 | 51 | 58 | 67 | 74 | 64 | 48 | 35 | 24 | 17 | 11 | |||
| Oil | 16 | 27 | 39 | 51 | 63 | 61 | 56 | 49 | 40 | 33 | 27 | 21 | |||
| Gas | 4 | 11 | 25 | 42 | 56 | 63 | 59 | 52 | 45 | 38 | 31 | 25 | |||
| Non-Fossil Electric | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 52 | 60 | 65 | 68 | 67 | |||
| Biomass | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 40 | 38 | 37 | 31 | 26 | 22 | |||
| Other Renewables | 30 | 33 | 32 | 27 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | |||
| Total | 79 | 113 | 153 | 195 | 244 | 273 | 272 | 251 | 227 | 200 | 178 | 154 | |||
| Cumulative Resources Production ZJ | NOT use but Production | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.9 | |||
| Oil | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | |||
| Gas | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | |||
| Cumulative CO2 Emissions | GtC | 0.0 | 17.8 | 42.1 | 73.2 | 110.1 | 151.3 | 191.9 | 227.4 | 256.7 | 280.2 | 298.1 | 310.2 | ||
| Carbon Sequestraction | GtC | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | Net Ecosystem Production (NEP) | |
| Land Use | Million ha | ||||||||||||||
| Cropland | 382 | 392 | 405 | 419 | 422 | 411 | 393 | 362 | 327 | 288 | 252 | 216 | Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species | ||
| Grasslands | 561 | 652 | 734 | 748 | 753 | 753 | 723 | 600 | 531 | 471 | 431 | 386 | Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species' | ||
| Energy Biomass | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 71 | 94 | 110 | 95 | 84 | 63 | 50 | |||
| Forest | 488 | 403 | 348 | 330 | 316 | 300 | 302 | 334 | 383 | 489 | 599 | 671 | |||
| Others | 544 | 528 | 486 | 468 | 454 | 441 | 464 | 570 | 640 | 645 | 631 | 653 | |||
| Total | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | 1976 | |||
| Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized) | |||||||||||||||
| Fossil Fuel CO2 | GtC | 1.15 | 1.78 | 2.58 | 3.18 | 3.78 | 4.08 | 3.68 | 3.08 | 2.48 | 1.98 | 1.58 | 1.28 | ||
| Other CO2 | GtC | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.11 | -0.09 | -0.35 | Approximate calculation from complex land-use module | |
| Total CO2 | GtC | 1.53 | 2.03 | 2.82 | 3.40 | 3.98 | 4.27 | 3.85 | 3.24 | 2.62 | 2.09 | 1.49 | 0.93 | ||
| CH4 total | MtCH4 | 113 | 125 | 136 | 148 | 154 | 161 | 157 | 149 | 141 | 128 | 118 | 105 | ||
| N2O total | MtN2O-N | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | ||
| SOx total | MtS | 17.7 | 25.3 | 29.0 | 29.1 | 29.2 | 27.6 | 21.4 | 15.3 | 10.7 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 4.2 | ||
| HFC | MtC eq. | 0 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 34 | 56 | 93 | 90 | 85 | 79 | 72 | 64 | ||
| PFC | MtC eq. | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | ||
| SF6 | MtC eq. | 4 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 19 | 16 | 16 | ||
| CO | MtCO | 235 | 270 | 286 | 289 | 280 | 285 | 245 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 222 | 214 | ||
| NMVOC | Mt | 33 | 37 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 37 | 36 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 29 | ||
| NOx | MtN | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | ||
| ALM - B1 IMAGE | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 | 2070 | 2080 | 2090 | 2100 | Remarks | ||
| Population | Million | 1287 | 1597 | 1954 | 2315 | 2643 | 2879 | 3055 | 3159 | 3202 | 3145 | 3006 | 2783 | ||
| GNP/GDP (mex) | Trillion US$ | 2.1 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 9.8 | 16.9 | 27.6 | 41.6 | 56.7 | 73.6 | 92.0 | 109.1 | 124.9 | ||
| 1990 US$/cap | 1653 | 1933 | 2840 | 4243 | 6407 | 9581 | 13624 | 17955 | 22996 | 29244 | 36312 | 44870 | NOT ppp-corrected | ||
| Final Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Non-commercial | 16 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | |||
| Solids | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | |||
| Liquids | 15 | 23 | 36 | 48 | 55 | 60 | 58 | 53 | 48 | 45 | 40 | 35 | |||
| Gas | 4 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | |||
| Electricity | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 41 | 67 | 90 | 100 | 101 | 97 | 89 | 79 | |||
| Others | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 15 | |||
| Total | 39 | 57 | 91 | 119 | 150 | 183 | 211 | 219 | 216 | 205 | 187 | 165 | |||
| Primary Energy | EJ | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 3 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 48 | 64 | 65 | 54 | 42 | 32 | 24 | 18 | |||
| Oil | 17 | 27 | 48 | 68 | 87 | 107 | 114 | 103 | 89 | 77 | 62 | 51 | |||
| Gas | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 36 | 45 | 59 | 64 | 60 | 52 | 47 | 37 | |||
| Non-Fossil Electric | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 46 | 53 | 55 | 53 | |||
| Biomass | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 29 | 36 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 22 | |||
| Other Renewables | 18 | 22 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 15 | |||
| Total | 43 | 64 | 112 | 160 | 216 | 273 | 312 | 313 | 290 | 265 | 232 | 196 | |||
| Cumulative Resources Production ZJ | NOT use but Production | ||||||||||||||
| Coal | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 | |||
| Oil | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 8.2 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 10.6 | 11.1 | |||
| Gas | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4.9 | |||
| Cumulative CO2 Emissions | GtC | 0.0 | 16.4 | 36.8 | 63.9 | 98.4 | 140.0 | 187.7 | 235.4 | 278.2 | 314.8 | 344.7 | 369.2 | ||
| Carbon Sequestraction | GtC | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | Net Ecosystem Production (NEP) | |
| Land Use | Million ha | ||||||||||||||
| Cropland | 397 | 408 | 477 | 521 | 558 | 553 | 530 | 506 | 486 | 460 | 423 | 385 | Arable land for crops excluding energy crops and grass & fodder species | ||
| Grasslands | 1697 | 1660 | 1750 | 1784 | 1755 | 1592 | 1424 | 1295 | 1184 | 1108 | 1041 | 975 | Permanent pasture: FAO category 'land for grass & fodder species' | ||
| Energy Biomass | 2 | 7 | 18 | 44 | 74 | 84 | 96 | 90 | 94 | 84 | 83 | 74 | |||
| Forest | 1528 | 1517 | 1441 | 1386 | 1365 | 1437 | 1548 | 1639 | 1726 | 1798 | 1868 | 1940 | |||
| Others | 1955 | 1987 | 1893 | 1844 | 1827 | 1915 | 1981 | 2050 | 2090 | 2130 | 2165 | 2205 | |||
| Total | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | 5579 | |||
| Anthropogenic Emissions (standardized) | |||||||||||||||
| Fossil Fuel CO2 | GtC | 0.72 | 1.01 | 1.81 | 2.71 | 3.71 | 4.81 | 5.11 | 4.71 | 4.11 | 3.51 | 2.91 | 2.41 | ||
| Other CO2 | GtC | 0.73 | 0.82 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.04 | -0.25 | -0.13 | -0.15 | -0.10 | -0.21 | -0.22 | -0.22 | Approximate calculation from complex land-use module | |
| Total CO2 | GtC | 1.45 | 1.83 | 2.26 | 3.16 | 3.75 | 4.56 | 4.98 | 4.56 | 4.01 | 3.30 | 2.69 | 2.19 | ||
| CH4 total | MtCH4 | 77 | 85 | 100 | 115 | 119 | 117 | 112 | 108 | 103 | 92 | 82 | 70 | ||
| N2O total | MtN2O-N | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.6 | ||
| SOx total | MtS | 10.5 | 12.8 | 21.2 | 26.8 | 33.7 | 37.4 | 35.6 | 29.9 | 24.0 | 19.5 | 15.7 | 12.6 | ||
| HFC | MtC eq. | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 42 | 64 | 98 | 102 | 102 | 101 | 96 | 89 | ||
| PFC | MtC eq. | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | ||
| SF6 | MtC eq. | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 14 | ||
| CO | MtCO | 396 | 404 | 321 | 301 | 186 | 126 | 121 | 131 | 143 | 121 | 105 | 83 | ||
| NMVOC | Mt | 48 | 55 | 54 | 55 | 51 | 48 | 47 | 47 | 45 | 42 | 40 | 36 | ||
| NOx | MtN | 7 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | ||