IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 (July, 2000) |
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World - A2 ASF |
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1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
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Population |
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Million |
5282 |
6170 |
7188 |
8206 |
9170 |
10715 |
11296 |
12139 |
12587 |
13828 |
14743 |
15068 |
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GNP/GDP
(mex) |
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Trillion US$ |
20.1 |
25.2 |
31.9 |
40.5 |
51.2 |
72.3 |
81.6 |
101.9 |
114.1 |
159.3 |
218.4 |
242.8 |
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GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
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Final
Energy |
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EJ |
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Non-commercial |
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Solids |
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52 |
51 |
58 |
65 |
61 |
58 |
55 |
58 |
61 |
63 |
65 |
67 |
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Liquids |
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117 |
150 |
187 |
246 |
275 |
304 |
334 |
371 |
408 |
469 |
552 |
635 |
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Gas |
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49 |
53 |
65 |
92 |
124 |
155 |
187 |
209 |
231 |
246 |
254 |
262 |
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Electricity |
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41 |
48 |
63 |
85 |
125 |
164 |
204 |
247 |
290 |
343 |
405 |
468 |
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Others |
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Total |
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257 |
303 |
373 |
488 |
585 |
682 |
779 |
884 |
990 |
1120 |
1276 |
1431 |
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Primary
Energy |
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EJ |
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Coal |
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92 |
90 |
106 |
129 |
184 |
239 |
294 |
415 |
536 |
658 |
781 |
904 |
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Oil |
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134 |
172 |
220 |
291 |
270 |
249 |
228 |
148 |
69 |
23 |
12 |
0 |
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Gas |
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71 |
74 |
89 |
126 |
176 |
225 |
275 |
297 |
319 |
330 |
331 |
331 |
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Nuclear |
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8 |
13 |
14 |
17 |
32 |
47 |
62 |
87 |
112 |
147 |
190 |
234 |
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Biomass |
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0 |
0 |
6 |
12 |
32 |
52 |
71 |
92 |
112 |
130 |
146 |
162 |
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Other Renewables |
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8 |
11 |
15 |
20 |
27 |
34 |
42 |
49 |
56 |
65 |
75 |
86 |
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Total |
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313 |
360 |
450 |
595 |
720 |
846 |
971 |
1088 |
1204 |
1353 |
1535 |
1717 |
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Cumulative
Resources Use |
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ZJ |
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Coal |
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0.0 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
4.7 |
6.9 |
9.5 |
13.1 |
17.9 |
31.1 |
38.3 |
46.8 |
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Oil |
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0.0 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
6.2 |
9.0 |
11.6 |
13.9 |
15.7 |
16.7 |
17.0 |
17.2 |
17.2 |
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Gas |
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0.0 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
6.2 |
8.7 |
11.6 |
14.7 |
17.9 |
21.3 |
24.6 |
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Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
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GtC |
0.0 |
75.3 |
163.1 |
272.2 |
407.1 |
561.1 |
728.6 |
911.5 |
1111.7 |
1332.2 |
1579.1 |
1855.3 |
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Carbon
Sequestraction |
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GtC |
-1.8 |
-1.6 |
-1.5 |
-1.3 |
-1.1 |
-0.9 |
-0.8 |
-0.6 |
-0.4 |
-0.2 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
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Land Use |
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Million ha |
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Cropland |
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Grasslands |
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Energy Biomass |
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Forest |
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Others |
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Total |
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Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
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Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
5.99 |
6.90 |
8.46 |
11.01 |
13.53 |
15.01 |
16.49 |
18.49 |
20.49 |
22.97 |
25.94 |
28.91 |
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Other CO2 |
GtC |
1.11 |
1.07 |
1.12 |
1.25 |
1.19 |
1.06 |
0.93 |
0.67 |
0.40 |
0.25 |
0.21 |
0.18 |
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Total CO2 |
GtC |
7.10 |
7.97 |
9.58 |
12.25 |
14.72 |
16.07 |
17.43 |
19.16 |
20.89 |
23.22 |
26.15 |
29.09 |
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CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
310 |
323 |
370 |
424 |
486 |
542 |
598 |
654 |
711 |
770 |
829 |
889 |
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N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
6.7 |
7.0 |
8.1 |
9.6 |
10.7 |
11.3 |
12.0 |
12.9 |
13.9 |
14.8 |
15.7 |
16.5 |
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SOx total |
MtS |
70.9 |
69.0 |
74.7 |
99.5 |
112.5 |
109.0 |
105.4 |
89.6 |
73.7 |
64.7 |
62.5 |
60.3 |
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CFC/HFC/HCFC |
MtC eq. |
1672 |
883 |
785 |
292 |
258 |
291 |
312 |
384 |
457 |
549 |
662 |
753 |
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PFC |
MtC eq. |
32 |
25 |
41 |
51 |
64 |
77 |
92 |
113 |
129 |
148 |
168 |
178 |
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SF6 |
MtC eq. |
38 |
40 |
50 |
64 |
75 |
89 |
104 |
122 |
129 |
135 |
153 |
165 |
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CO |
MtCO |
879 |
877 |
977 |
1075 |
1259 |
1344 |
1428 |
1545 |
1662 |
1842 |
2084 |
2326 |
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NMVOC |
Mt |
139 |
141 |
155 |
179 |
202 |
214 |
225 |
238 |
251 |
275 |
309 |
342 |
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NOx
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MtN |
31 |
32 |
39 |
50 |
61 |
66 |
71 |
75 |
80 |
87 |
98 |
109 |
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