IPCC SRES Emissions Scenarios - Version 1.1 (July, 2000) |
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OECD90 - A1G MINICAM |
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1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2040 |
2050 |
2060 |
2070 |
2080 |
2090 |
2100 |
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Population |
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Million |
838 |
908 |
965 |
1007 |
1024 |
1066 |
1081 |
1084 |
1090 |
1098 |
1105 |
1112 |
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GNP/GDP
(mex) |
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Trillion US$ |
16.3 |
20.5 |
25.6 |
31.5 |
34.4 |
44.6 |
53.5 |
63.2 |
74.2 |
86.4 |
101.4 |
117.7 |
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GNP/GDP
(ppp) Trillion (1990 prices) |
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na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
na |
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Final
Energy |
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EJ |
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Non-commercial |
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0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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Solids |
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10 |
13 |
14 |
14 |
14 |
15 |
17 |
13 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
12 |
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Liquids |
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72 |
73 |
75 |
77 |
73 |
70 |
81 |
87 |
94 |
102 |
97 |
93 |
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Gas |
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27 |
36 |
47 |
59 |
60 |
62 |
62 |
70 |
80 |
91 |
90 |
89 |
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Electricity |
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22 |
28 |
37 |
48 |
53 |
70 |
85 |
95 |
105 |
116 |
126 |
137 |
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Others |
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0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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Total |
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130 |
151 |
173 |
197 |
199 |
217 |
245 |
265 |
290 |
320 |
325 |
330 |
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Primary
Energy |
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EJ |
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Coal |
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40 |
47 |
48 |
45 |
51 |
70 |
82 |
86 |
93 |
104 |
167 |
231 |
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Oil |
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76 |
78 |
79 |
79 |
71 |
59 |
70 |
71 |
72 |
74 |
34 |
-6 |
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Gas |
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34 |
47 |
69 |
100 |
103 |
112 |
116 |
131 |
146 |
160 |
158 |
157 |
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Nuclear |
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20 |
16 |
14 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
19 |
22 |
25 |
29 |
33 |
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Biomass |
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0 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
9 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
17 |
20 |
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Other Renewables |
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12 |
11 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
12 |
14 |
18 |
23 |
28 |
35 |
42 |
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Total |
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182 |
201 |
225 |
254 |
257 |
279 |
310 |
336 |
368 |
404 |
440 |
476 |
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Cumulative
Resources Use |
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ZJ |
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Coal |
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0.0 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
7.6 |
9.2 |
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Oil |
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0.1 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
7.3 |
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Gas |
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0.0 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
4.0 |
5.2 |
6.4 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
10.9 |
12.5 |
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Cumulative
CO2 Emissions |
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GtC |
0.0 |
30.1 |
64.7 |
104.3 |
146.6 |
191.0 |
239.5 |
291.7 |
346.9 |
405.7 |
469.9 |
541.6 |
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Carbon
Sequestraction |
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GtC |
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Land Use |
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Million ha |
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Cropland |
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408 |
410 |
412 |
414 |
409 |
385 |
358 |
312 |
272 |
238 |
207 |
177 |
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Grasslands |
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796 |
820 |
866 |
935 |
970 |
1058 |
1094 |
1058 |
1013 |
962 |
918 |
873 |
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Energy Biomass |
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0 |
4 |
6 |
8 |
10 |
18 |
24 |
34 |
38 |
36 |
50 |
63 |
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Forest |
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921 |
931 |
921 |
894 |
869 |
809 |
787 |
864 |
938 |
1011 |
1039 |
1067 |
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Others |
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998 |
959 |
917 |
872 |
865 |
853 |
858 |
856 |
861 |
876 |
909 |
942 |
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Total |
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3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
3123 |
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Anthropogenic
Emissions (standardized) |
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Fossil Fuel CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.58 |
3.95 |
4.03 |
4.46 |
5.02 |
5.34 |
5.76 |
6.30 |
7.14 |
8.02 |
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Other CO2 |
GtC |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.13 |
0.25 |
0.24 |
0.16 |
0.05 |
0.02 |
-0.07 |
-0.24 |
-0.35 |
-0.47 |
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Total CO2 |
GtC |
2.83 |
3.20 |
3.72 |
4.19 |
4.27 |
4.63 |
5.07 |
5.36 |
5.69 |
6.06 |
6.78 |
7.55 |
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CH4 total |
MtCH4 |
73 |
74 |
86 |
101 |
108 |
131 |
149 |
172 |
196 |
223 |
246 |
270 |
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N2O total |
MtN2O-N |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
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SOx total |
MtS |
22.7 |
17.0 |
13.9 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
6.5 |
7.3 |
8.0 |
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HFC |
MtC eq. |
19 |
58 |
110 |
108 |
115 |
118 |
122 |
123 |
123 |
124 |
125 |
125 |
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PFC |
MtC eq. |
18 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
16 |
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SF6 |
MtC eq. |
23 |
23 |
14 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
9 |
11 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
20 |
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CO |
MtCO |
179 |
161 |
181 |
199 |
187 |
211 |
250 |
269 |
274 |
304 |
307 |
319 |
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NMVOC |
Mt |
42 |
36 |
39 |
39 |
32 |
33 |
37 |
41 |
45 |
52 |
55 |
60 |
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NOx
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MtN |
13 |
12 |
14 |
16 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
18 |
20 |
23 |
24 |
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